DSE : MEGCONMILK

Meghna Condensed Milk Industries Limited (MEGCONMILK) technical report

As of the 2026-11-01 close. Updated every trading day. Company page · All DSE stocks: technical data

৳27.70-2.8%
Daily trend: DownWeekly trend: DownStrength: StrongVolatility: HighLiquidity: Low
Meghna Condensed Milk closed at ৳27.70, below its October floor and both key daily averages, five months into a decline from ৳51.0.
Price has fallen 45.7% from the June high of ৳51.0 in a series of lower highs. The 50-day and 200-day averages have converged near ৳32, and today's close sits on the lower Bollinger band.
✦ Analyst agent's read
Downtrend
Lower highs since the ৳51.0 June peak; price closed below both 50- and 200-day averages and the October ৳28.0 floor, with ADX rising.
ClarityMixed
Key level৳28.00 (above)
October floor, now lost on a closing basis
From TradingView charts on four timeframes. Describes structure; not a forecast or advice.

In plain words

Meghna Condensed Milk had a dramatic 2026. From a low of ৳11.5 in November 2025 the price more than quadrupled to ৳51.0 by early June, with very heavy trading. Since June it has been sliding: each rally has peaked lower than the one before (about ৳42.6, ৳41.2, then ৳40.5), and trading volume has dried up. Through October the price held a floor around ৳28.0, but today it closed at ৳27.70, just under that floor, after an unusual opening trade at ৳20.50. It now sits below both its 50-day average (the average closing price of the last 50 trading days, ৳32.01) and its 200-day average (the same over 200 days, ৳31.90). The levels that matter now are ৳28.0–28.3 just overhead, the ৳32 area where both averages meet, and the ৳24.0–24.4 zone from February below.

Key levels

Support is a price where buying has stopped declines before; resistance is where selling has capped rallies. On this stock, ৳28.0–28.3 acted as support all October and has just been broken, so it may now act as a ceiling. The ৳34.4–36.1 band capped bounces in August and September, while ৳24.0–24.4 is where price paused in February.

৳34.40–36.10
Resistance: August–September highs
Repeated daily highs in this band during the late-summer bounce attempts.
+27.3%
৳31.90–32.00
Resistance: 50/200-day averages
Both daily averages converge here, about 15% above the close.
+15.3%
৳28.00–28.30
Resistance: October floor
Daily lows held here through October; closed below it today.
+1.6%
৳27.70
Last close
৳24.00–24.40
Support: February base
February 2026 consolidation lows after the January breakout.
-12.6%
৳20.50
Support: Today's opening print
Today's intraday low; volume at that print was thin.
-26.0%

Trend on each timeframe

The monthly chart still shows a big 2026 advance, now largely retraced and back below its one-year average. The weekly and daily charts both point down, with short averages below long ones and lower highs since June. The hourly chart agrees, staying under its short averages. The only disagreement is scale: the long-term picture is a giveback, the shorter ones a clear decline.

Monthly Sideways

January–June 2026 rally from ৳11.5 to ৳51.0 has given back most gains; price now below the 12-month average of ৳31.02.
Monthly, ~10 years: SMA 12, RSI 14, volume
Monthly, ~10 years: SMA 12, RSI 14, volume. Chart: TradingView.

Each candle is one month, covering roughly ten years. The orange line is the 12-month simple average (about one year of closes), now ৳31.02. The lower panel shows RSI(14), a 0–100 momentum gauge, at 49.75. Price ran from a November 2025 low of ৳11.5 to ৳51.0 in June 2026 on the heaviest monthly volume in the chart. Since then monthly candles have been mostly red, and price at ৳27.70 has slipped back below the 12-month line.

Weekly Down

10-week SMA (৳31.12) is below the 40-week SMA (৳34.27); weekly MACD below its signal line since July.
Weekly, ~4 years: SMA 10/40, MACD, volume
Weekly, ~4 years: SMA 10/40, MACD, volume. Chart: TradingView.

Each candle is one week, over about four years. The orange line averages the last 10 weekly closes (৳31.12), the blue line the last 40 (৳34.27). The MACD panel compares two exponential averages; its line at −1.13 sits below the signal. After the 2026 surge to ৳51.0, weekly highs stepped down to ৳42.6, ৳41.2 and ৳40.5, and the short average has crossed below the long one. Weekly volume has shrunk from above 2 million shares in May to 78,417 last week.

Daily Down

Close ৳27.70 is under the 50-day (৳32.01) and 200-day (৳31.90) averages, which are about to cross.
Daily, ~1 year: SMA 50/200, volume
Daily, ~1 year: SMA 50/200, volume. Chart: TradingView.

Each candle is one trading day, covering about a year. The green line is the 50-day average (৳32.01) and the purple line the 200-day average (৳31.90). Price broke above both in February 2026 and peaked at ৳51.0 on 4 June. Since then daily closes have drifted lower, crossing below the 200-day line in October. Today's bar opened at ৳20.50, traded up to ৳30.00 and closed at ৳27.70 on 15,656 shares, about 0.73 times the average volume.

Hourly Down

Price ৳27.70 below EMA 20 (৳28.45) and EMA 50 (৳28.98); hourly RSI 40.
Hourly, ~2 months: EMA 20/50, RSI, volume
Hourly, ~2 months: EMA 20/50, RSI, volume. Chart: TradingView.

Each candle is one trading hour, covering roughly two months. The orange line is the 20-hour exponential average (৳28.45) and the blue line the 50-hour one (৳28.98); price has stayed mostly under both since early September, sliding from about ৳37 to ৳27.70. RSI(14) sits at 40. Today's first hour printed a long spike down to about ৳20.60 before recovering, then price settled below the October floor near ৳28.0.

Momentum and volume

Momentum is weak. RSI at 33 is close to the zone traders call oversold, meaning prices have fallen steadily. ADX near 30 says the move has direction, and that direction is down, with selling pressure far outweighing buying. Volume is below average, so the decline is happening without heavy trading.

RSI (14)
33.2
Weak
Near the 30 oversold line after steady decline since June.
MACD (12,26,9)
-1.03
Flat, negative
Line equals signal; momentum flat below zero.
ADX (14)
29.6
Trending
−DI 38.3 far above +DI 6.9: sellers dominate the trend.
Bollinger (20,2)
At lower band
Lower band
Close ৳27.70 equals lower band ৳27.71; middle band ৳29.44.
Volume vs average
0.73x
Below average
15,656 shares today; October volumes far below spring levels.
Daily, ~6 months: Bollinger 20/2, RSI, MACD, ADX
Daily, ~6 months: Bollinger 20/2, RSI, MACD, ADX. Chart: TradingView.

Each candle is one trading day, covering about six months. The shaded Bollinger band marks two standard deviations around the 20-day average (middle ৳29.44, upper ৳31.17, lower ৳27.71); price has ridden the lower half since July and closed on the lower edge. RSI(14) is 33.22, near oversold. MACD and its signal are both −1.03, flat below zero. The DMI panel shows ADX at 29.6 with −DI jumping to 38.3 against +DI 6.9, reflecting today's deep intraday dip.

What would change the picture

The scenario cards list price conditions worth watching and what each would mean for the chart's structure. They are not predictions: none of them is expected to happen, they simply describe how the picture would change if price closed beyond each level.

If Daily close back above ৳28.30
Would put price back inside the October range and negate today's close below the floor.
If Daily close above ৳32.00
Would reclaim both 50- and 200-day averages, breaking the lower-high sequence since June.
If Daily close below ৳24.00
Would take price under the February base, retracing most of the 2026 rally.

Recent changes and what followed

Each row is a day a tracked signal changed, and the price move over the next 5, 20 and 60 trading days (blank until that many days have passed). Past moves do not predict future ones.

DateChangeCloseNext 5 daysNext 20 daysNext 60 days
2026-11-01MACD crossed below its signal line৳27.70