Reckitt Benckiser (Bangladesh) valuation report: fair value BDT 1,908–2,583 (Oct 2026)

Fair value range BDT 1,908-2,583 a share: Dettol and Harpic grow 3.5% a year and pay out all profit

Fair value BDT 1,908-2,583 (base 2,230, 12.6x FY2026F EPS) against a price of 3,221.4; the price corresponds to a 11.0% cost of equity on our forecast.

Company · Initiation · 29 Oct 2026 · FY2025 annual (to 31-Dec-2025) + H1 2026 (to 30-Jun-2026) · By AnalystBro Team · 17 min read

For information only, not investment advice. AnalystBro accepts no responsibility for decisions made on it. Full disclaimer.

Fair value range
৳1,908–2,583
Base ৳2,230 · price above the range · probability-weighted ৳2,238
Price ৳3,221.40
2026-10-29
Uncertainty: Medium
Bear ৳1,908Base ৳2,230Bull ৳2,583Price ৳3,221.40

FCFF DCF (cost of equity 13.8%, g 5%) 60% · DDM 40% · = 12.6x FY2026F P/E, 8.2% FY2027F yield

  • Operating business৳1,991
  • Net cash less leases (FY2026F)৳239
Price (29-Oct-2026)BDT 3,221.4
52-week rangeBDT 3,190-3,700
Market capBDT 15.2bn
Shares4.725m
Parent (Reckitt Benckiser Ltd, UK)82.96%
Free float (private, excl. state holders)about 11%
3-month ADTVBDT 1.0m
Fiscal year end31 December
EPS TTM (to Jun-2026)BDT 175.11
P/E TTM18.4x
NAV per share (Jun-2026)BDT 79.09
FY2025 DPS / yieldBDT 173 / 5.4%
Payout FY2025100%
Royalty, % of revenue5.5% (6% health brands, 4.875% hygiene)
Key inputSoap noodles, 42% of materials; 70% imported
Volume growth FY2025H&T cases -1.2%
Gross margin (FY2025 / H1 2026)48.4% / 46.8%
Cash (Dec-2025)BDT 1.20bn, no borrowings
Credit ratingAAA / ST-1 (CRISL, Oct-2026)
Next eventQ3 2026 results (board met 29-Oct-2026)
Estimates
BDT mn (December year end)FY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Revenue5,4595,6645,7296,0806,513
Revenue growth3.4%3.8%1.1%6.1%7.1%
Household & toiletries cases ('000)2,2972,2692,2242,2682,337
Gross margin48.5%48.4%48.0%47.7%47.6%
EBIT margin20.3%20.4%20.5%19.8%19.7%
Profit for the year752817836866925
EPS (BDT)159.17172.93176.97183.30195.83
EPS growth-8.3%8.6%2.3%3.6%6.8%
DPS (BDT, cash)333.00173.00176.97183.30195.83
P/E27.3x19.8x18.2x17.6x16.4x
ROE (on average equity)—64.3%93.4%94.1%95.9%
Dividend yield7.7%5.1%5.5%5.7%6.1%

Investment case: Dettol and Harpic earn a 48% gross margin and pay out ~100%; fair value range BDT 1,908-2,583

Reckitt Benckiser (Bangladesh) PLC sells Dettol, Harpic, Lizol, Mortein, Veet and Vanish in Bangladesh. Household and toiletries products were 96% of FY2025 revenue of BDT 5.66bn and Dettol antiseptic liquid, reported as pharmaceuticals, the other 4% [1 p.253]. Reckitt Benckiser Limited, UK owns 82.96% [1 p.244]. Two group companies own the brands and charge a royalty: 6% of sales of Dettol, Veet and Gaviscon, and 4.875% of sales of Harpic, Lizol, Mortein, Vanish, Air Wick and the rest, BDT 313.9mn or 5.5% of revenue in FY2025 [1 p.248] [1 p.249].

The business is mature and very profitable on little capital. Revenue grew 3.5% a year from FY2021 to FY2025 and the gross margin has held near 48% since FY2023 [1 p.50] [1 p.51]. The company pays out about all of its profit: five-year dividends of BDT 3.89bn against profit of BDT 3.86bn [1 p.50]. Equity is therefore small and ROE was 92% on year-end equity in FY2025 [1 p.101]. Interest income is minor: BDT 33mn, 3% of pre-tax profit [1 p.260]. H1 2026 revenue fell 2.1% after a weak first quarter (Eid and the national election), then rose 6.7% in the June quarter; H1 EPS was BDT 64.34 against 62.16 [2 p.3] [5].

We put fair value at BDT 1,908-2,583 a share, base 2,230. The base blends a free-cash-flow DCF at a 13.8% cost of equity and 5% terminal growth (BDT 2,349, 60%) with a dividend discount model (BDT 2,051, 40%) [9]. It equals 12.6x our FY2026F EPS of BDT 177. The price of BDT 3,221.4 on 29-Oct-2026 [6] is above the range: it is 18.4x filed EPS for the 12 months to June 2026. On our forecast, the price corresponds to a 11.0% cost of equity, or 8.4% growth for ever, or an EBIT margin of 28.7% against 20.4% in FY2025 [9].

Bulls say

  • Dettol and Harpic are household names, and the gross margin stayed between 46% and 55% through the taka's fall [1 p.51]. In our bull case (volume +4-5%, imports 3% cheaper in dollars in FY2027F) FY2028F EPS reaches BDT 267 [9].
  • Cash comes back to shareholders: payout was 100% for FY2025 (DPS BDT 173) and 209% for FY2024 [1 p.50]. At 100% our FY2027F DPS is BDT 183, a 5.7% yield on the price [9].
  • The royalty backlog is cleared. The payable fell from BDT 1,110mn at December 2023 to BDT 314mn, one year's charge, after BDT 999mn was paid in 2024 [1 p.248] [1 p.249].

Bears say

  • Volume is flat to down: household and toiletries cases fell 1.2% in FY2025 [1 p.253] and revenue fell 2.1% in H1 2026 [2 p.6]. Local brands and cheaper alternatives compete on price, the company says [1 p.44].
  • Seventy per cent of materials are imported; soap noodles alone are 42% [1 p.255] [1 p.256]. Imports 15% dearer in dollars in FY2027F cut that year's EPS to BDT 151 [9].
  • The royalty and the payout are the parent's decisions. A one-point rise in both royalty rates takes fair value to BDT 2,208 [9].
Exhibit 1RECKITTBEN fell 31% in two years, 33% against DSEX; the price is 1.4x our base
rebased, Oct-2024 = 100
025.050.075.0100125Oct 24Jan 25Apr 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Aug 26
RECKITTBENDSEX
Data
Oct 24Nov 24Dec 24Jan 25Feb 25Mar 25Apr 25May 25May 25Jun 25Jul 25Aug 25Sep 25Oct 25Nov 25Dec 25Jan 26Feb 26Mar 26Apr 26May 26Jun 26Jul 26Aug 26Aug 26Sep 26Oct 26
RECKITTBEN100.0098.6093.5092.6087.8084.6083.1073.1071.5070.8072.9073.4073.3075.6072.8074.5075.0075.7075.5074.7072.3071.0071.4070.9070.6070.0069.10
DSEX100.00101.9097.1098.8098.5099.0099.0093.2089.6096.40102.90106.80103.0097.4095.6092.9097.00104.00101.80100.0099.80105.00110.40111.50107.70105.20103.00
Source: Weekly closes, Oct-2024 to Oct-2026 [6] · Rebased to 100 in Oct-2024
Exhibit 2Fair value range BDT 1,908-2,583: DCF BDT 2,349, dividend model BDT 2,051; price BDT 3,221.4
1,5002,0002,5003,0003,500DCF (60%)1,9502,792DDM (40%)1,8442,270Fair value1,9082,583Price 3,221.4Base 2,230
Data
LowHigh
Source: Model [9]

Reckitt UK owns 82.96% and takes a 5.5% royalty; private free float is about 11%

The company was incorporated on 15-Apr-1961 as Robinson's Foods (Pakistan) Limited, became Reckitt & Colman Bangladesh in 1986 and Reckitt Benckiser (Bangladesh) Limited in 2000 [2 p.6]. It is listed on the Dhaka and Chittagong stock exchanges, makes its products at Nasirabad in Chattogram and imports some finished goods from Reckitt Benckiser (India) (BDT 76.9mn in FY2025) [2 p.6] [1 p.270]. Manufactured goods were BDT 5,100mn of FY2025 revenue and traded goods BDT 564mn [1 p.253].

The free float is thin. The parent holds 3,919,918 of the 4,725,000 shares (82.96%). The Government of Bangladesh holds 3.77%, Sadharan Bima Corporation 1.67% and ICB and its funds 0.47%; individuals hold 6.45% and other institutions 4.67% [1 p.244]. That leaves about 11% in private hands outside the state holders, or about 530,000 shares. Average daily turnover over the last three months was about BDT 1.0mn [6]. The share count has not changed since the 1996 bonus issue [1 p.244].

Group flows are the royalty, imports and dividends. In FY2025 the company accrued BDT 201.4mn to Reckitt Benckiser Health Limited, UK and BDT 112.5mn to Reckitt Benckiser (ENA) B.V., Netherlands, under agreements dated 1-Apr-2019, and paid the parent BDT 1,305.3mn of dividends [1 p.250] [1 p.270]. The royalty payable at December 2023 was BDT 1,110.2mn, about three and a half years of charges; it was paid down in 2024 and is now one year's charge [1 p.248] [1 p.249]. The CRISL rating is AAA / ST-1 [5].

Exhibit 3Reckitt Benckiser Limited, UK owns 82.96%; private free float is about 11%
HolderSharesStake
Reckitt Benckiser Limited, UK (parent)3,919,9181
Government of Bangladesh178,3390
Sadharan Bima Corporation79,0590
ICB, ICB Unit Fund and ICB mutual funds22,2540
Individuals304,8340
Other institutions220,5960
Total4,725,0001
Source: Shareholding at 31-Dec-2025 [1 p.244] · Stake column is a ratio (0.82961 = 82.96%)
Exhibit 4Group royalty: BDT 314mn in FY2025, 6% on health brands and 4.875% on hygiene brands
FY2025BrandsBrand revenue (BDT mn)Royalty (BDT mn)Rate
Reckitt Benckiser Health Ltd, UKDettol, Veet, Gaviscon3,355.9201.46.0%
Reckitt Benckiser (ENA) B.V., NetherlandsHarpic, Lizol, Mortein, Vanish, Air Wick, Brasso, Trix2,308.4112.54.875%
Total—5,664.4313.95.54%
Source: Royalty notes [1 p.248] [1 p.249]
Exhibit 5Royalty payable fell from BDT 1,110mn (Dec-23) to BDT 314mn (Dec-25) after BDT 999mn was paid in 2024
BDT mnDec-23Dec-24Dec-25Jun-26
Payable to Reckitt Benckiser Health, UK756196201295
Payable to Reckitt Benckiser (ENA), Netherlands354107112170
Total royalty payable1,110302314466
Source: Royalty notes [1 p.248] [1 p.249]; H1 2026 [2 p.8]

FY2025 growth was all price: cases -1.2%, price per case +4.9%; we forecast revenue +6% in FY2027F

The annual report gives cases and revenue by segment, so volume and price can be split. Household and toiletries sold 2,269,426 cases in FY2025 against 2,297,450 (-1.2%), at BDT 2,397 a case against BDT 2,286 (+4.9%) [1 p.253]. Growth was all price. Dettol antiseptic liquid sold 90,682 cases (+8.8%) at a slightly lower price; it earns a gross margin of only 11% and lost BDT 25.6mn at the operating level [1 p.251] [1 p.253]. The royalty notes give the brand split: Dettol, Veet and Gaviscon BDT 3,356mn (59%) and Harpic, Lizol, Mortein, Vanish and the rest BDT 2,308mn (41%) [1 p.248] [1 p.249].

In H1 2026 revenue fell 2.1% to BDT 2,751mn [2 p.6]. The March quarter fell 10% (fewer business days with Eid and the national election), the June quarter rose 6.7% [3 p.6] [5]. The H1 royalty charges imply that health brands (mostly Dettol) were about 57% of sales, down from 59% [2 p.8] [9]. Dettol soap is the largest single use of materials (soap noodles BDT 897mn) [1 p.256] and competes with Lifebuoy and Savlon; that rivalry, and private labels, limit price rises.

Our base has household and toiletries cases down 2% in FY2026F, then up 2% and 3%, on urban hygiene demand and population growth. Price per case rises 3% in FY2026F and 4% a year after, below the 8-10% inflation of 2025 [1 p.48]. Revenue is BDT 5.73bn in FY2026F (1.1%) and BDT 6.51bn in FY2028F [9]. The second half of FY2026F needs about 4% growth over H2 2025, against 6.7% in the June quarter.

Exhibit 6Household & toiletries cases fell 1.2% in FY2025; price per case rose 4.9%
FY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
H&T cases ('000)2,2972,2692,2242,2682,337
H&T BDT per case2,2862,3972,4692,5682,670
H&T revenue (BDT mn)5,2515,4405,4915,8256,240
Pharma cases ('000)83.390.794.398.1102.0
Pharma revenue (BDT mn)208224238255273
Revenue (BDT mn)5,4595,6645,7296,0806,513
Source: Revenue note [1 p.253]; forecast [9]
Exhibit 7Revenue fell 10% in Q1 2026 and rose 6.7% in Q2; we need about 4% in the second half
BDT mn
05001,0001,5002,000Forecast1Q252Q253Q254Q251Q262Q263Q26F4Q26F1,4731,3351,4871,3691,3261,4241,5511,427
Data
1Q252Q253Q254Q251Q262Q263Q26F4Q26F
Revenue1,473.401,335.201,487.201,368.601,326.101,424.501,551.101,427.40
Source: Quarterly statements [3 p.6] [2 p.6] [4 p.6]; 3Q-4Q26F [9]
Exhibit 8Volume and price: FY2025 growth was all price; FY2027F-28F need both
GrowthFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
H&T cases-1.2%-2.0%2.0%3.0%
H&T price per case4.9%3.0%4.0%4.0%
Pharma cases8.8%4.0%4.0%4.0%
Revenue3.8%1.1%6.1%7.1%
Source: Revenue note [1 p.253]; forecast [9]

Hygiene brands face local rivals and trade-down; revenue grew 3.5% a year FY2021-25

Reckitt sells into hygiene and home-care categories: antiseptic liquid and soap (Dettol), toilet cleaner (Harpic), floor cleaner (Lizol), insect killer (Mortein), hair removal (Veet) and stain remover (Vanish). The company describes rivalry as intense, from global groups and 'agile local firms', with low switching costs, cheaper alternatives and counterfeit products [1 p.44] [1 p.45]. It also says inflation pushed shoppers to trade down [1 p.49]. In antiseptics and soap the main branded rivals are ACI's Savlon and Unilever's Lifebuoy; in toilet and floor cleaners, local brands and unbranded acid cleaners. These names are our context: the annual report does not name competitors or give market shares, and we found no independent category size (a gap).

Demand follows urban incomes and hygiene habits. The company points to a growing middle class and rising hygiene awareness, and to weaker rural reach than urban [1 p.42] [1 p.45]. Trade receivables show the channels: traditional trade BDT 98.5mn, modern trade 17.5mn, e-commerce 14.0mn and institutions 5.6mn at December 2025 [1 p.242]. Our long-run growth of 5% in nominal taka is close to the FY2021-25 record of 3.5% a year plus some recovery in volume.

There is no close listed peer. Other multinational consumer subsidiaries on the DSE trade at 13-71x trailing earnings [7]. RECKITTBEN trades at 18.4x filed EPS for the 12 months to June 2026 (BDT 175.11) [5]. We do not use a peer multiple: peers' figures are not rebuilt from their filings and the businesses differ.

Exhibit 9DSE multinational and consumer peers trade at 13-71x; RECKITTBEN at 18x filed TTM EPS
RECKITTBENUNILEVERCLMARICOBATBCACILINDEBD
Market cap (BDT bn)15.237.683.2112.915.69.5
P/E TTM (screener)18.4x71.1x13.3x30.0x—29.0x
P/B (screener)40.7x21.0x18.1x1.9x1.7x2.9x
Dividend yield (screener)5.4%2.2%7.9%1.4%1.4%1.6%
Source: Screener, close 29-Oct-2026 [7] · Context only; not a valuation leg. ACI (Savlon) is a conglomerate; the screener shows no P/E for it
Exhibit 10Traditional trade holds 73% of trade receivables; e-commerce 10%
BDT mn
020.040.060.080.0100Traditional tradeModern tradeE-commerceInstitutions
Dec-2025Dec-2024
Data
Traditional tradeModern tradeE-commerceInstitutions
Dec-202598.5017.5014.005.60
Dec-202482.8019.7016.204.00
Source: Channel-wise receivables, 31-Dec-2025 [1 p.242]

Imports are 70% of materials; each 10% in taka moves FY2027F EPS about 14%

Materials are the main cost. In FY2025 the company consumed BDT 2,151mn of raw and packing materials: raw materials 74% and packing 26%; imported 70% and local 30% [1 p.255]. Soap noodles, a palm-oil product used in Dettol soap, cost BDT 897mn, 42% of the total. Plastic containers cost BDT 267mn, and PCMX (the antiseptic in Dettol liquid), pine oil and surfactants follow [1 p.256] [1 p.257]. The taka averaged 121.68 to the dollar in 2025 against 115.43 in 2024 [1 p.268]. Manufacturing overhead, mainly wages and depreciation, was BDT 589mn [1 p.254].

The gross margin held at 48.4% in FY2025 against 48.5% [1 p.51]. In H1 2026 materials fell to 40.5% of revenue from 43.1% while manufacturing overhead rose 21% to BDT 347mn, so the gross margin was 46.8% against 46.7% [2 p.3] [2 p.6]. The company warns of higher resin, fuel and logistics costs from the Middle East conflict [1 p.49]. Our base has imported prices down 2% in dollars in FY2026F (the H1 trend) and up 2% a year after, the taka 2% weaker a year, and local costs up 6%. The gross margin is 48.0%, 47.7% and 47.6% for FY2026F-28F, against a five-year median of 48.5% [9]. We have no primary price series for soap noodles or resin (a gap).

Exhibit 11Gross margin 48.4% in FY2025; we forecast 47.7% in FY2027F
% of revenue
00.20.40.6ForecastFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Gross marginMaterials and goods incl. stock change
Data
FY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Gross margin0.550.460.490.490.480.480.480.48
Materials and goods incl. stock change———0.420.410.410.410.41
Source: Five-year data [1 p.51]; cost notes [1 p.253]; forecast [9]
Exhibit 12Soap noodles are 42% of materials consumed; 70% of materials are imported
BDT mnFY24FY25
Soap noodles858897
Plastic containers248267
Outer cartons and skillets152159
Chloroxylenol (PCMX)4246
Other raw and packing721782
Materials consumed2,0222,151
of which imported1,4241,515
Source: Material analysis [1 p.255] [1 p.256] [1 p.257] · PCMX FY24 = 'Pcmx' 19.0 + 'Chloroxylenol' 23.6; other = residual
Exhibit 13Input and FX drivers by scenario
ChangeFY26FFY27FFY28F
Imported materials, USD - base-2.0%2.0%2.0%
Imported materials, USD - bear-2.0%7.0%4.0%
Imported materials, USD - bull-2.0%-3.0%0.0%
BDT per USD - base2.0%2.0%2.0%
BDT per USD - bear2.0%5.0%3.0%
Local materials and packaging6.0%6.0%6.0%
H&T price per case - base3.0%4.0%4.0%
Source: Model, Assumptions tab [9]
Exhibit 14Volume matters more than input cost: volume -5pp a year gives BDT 1,795; imports +20% from FY2027F give BDT 2,085
H&T volume vs base, a yearImports -20%Imports -10%Imports +0%Imports +10%Imports +20%
-5.0%1,9211,8581,7951,7331,670
-2.5%2,1392,0722,0041,9371,869
+0.0%2,3752,3032,2302,1572,085
+2.5%2,6302,5522,4732,3952,317
+5.0%2,9042,8202,7362,6522,568
Source: Model recalculated for each cell [9] · Fair value BDT/share; import change in taka, not passed on in price; margins fade back by FY2033F
Exhibit 15Same grid on FY2027F EPS: base BDT 183; imports +10% cut it to BDT 158
H&T volume vs base, a yearImports -20%Imports -10%Imports +0%Imports +10%Imports +20%
-5.0%196.95174.13151.30128.48105.65
-2.5%215.07191.08167.10143.12119.13
+0.0%233.65208.47183.30158.12132.95
+2.5%252.69226.29199.89173.50147.10
+5.0%272.18244.54216.89189.24161.59
Source: Model [9]

The royalty takes 5.5% of revenue, about 21% of pre-royalty profit, and lifts the tax rate

The royalty is a fixed share of brand sales, so it scales with revenue: BDT 302.5mn in FY2024 and BDT 313.9mn in FY2025, 5.5% of revenue both years [1 p.249]; BDT 151.9mn (5.5%) in H1 2026 [2 p.6]. We model it from the two contract rates and the brand mix, giving BDT 317mn in FY2026F [9]. It takes about 21% of pre-royalty operating profit. The rate is the parent's to set: a one-point rise on both contracts would cut fair value to BDT 2,208 [9].

The royalty also lifts the tax rate. Royalty accrued but not yet paid is not deductible until it is paid, which added 2.9 points to the FY2025 rate and 3.9 points in FY2024 [1 p.261]; it added 4.5 points in H1 2026, when the rate was 27.4% [2 p.7]. The company holds a BDT 94.6mn legal provision, mainly for tax disputes including withholding tax on technical-fee remittances [1 p.248]. We use 27.0% for FY2026F and 26.0% after. Workers' profit participation takes 5% of profit before it [1 p.260].

Remittance has been slow before. At December 2023 the company owed the two brand owners BDT 1,110mn, and in 2024 it paid BDT 999mn plus advance tax [1 p.248] [1 p.249]. Payables fell BDT 766mn that year and operating cash flow was only BDT 107mn [1 p.271]. With the backlog cleared, we assume each year's royalty is paid the next year. The company gives no reason for the backlog; Bangladesh Bank's foreign-exchange rules govern remittances of royalty and dividends abroad.

Exhibit 16Royalty has been 5.5% of revenue; tax disallowances add 3-4 points to the tax rate
FY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Royalty (BDT mn)302.5313.9317.5336.9360.9
Royalty, % of revenue5.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%
Effective tax rate26.8%24.9%27.0%26.0%26.0%
Source: Royalty [1 p.249]; tax reconciliation [1 p.261] [2 p.7]; forecast [9]

Five-year record: EPS BDT 140-174, EBIT margin median 20.4%, ROE median 79%

Revenue rose from BDT 4.94bn in FY2021 to BDT 5.66bn in FY2025 [1 p.50]. EPS was BDT 171, 140, 174, 159 and 173: profit is flat in taka and down in real terms. FY2022 was the low point, when the gross margin fell to 46.0% from 54.6% as the taka fell [1 p.51]. The operating margin was 23.3%, 19.9%, 22.2%, 20.3% and 20.4% [1 p.47].

Over five years the median gross margin was 48.5%, the median EBIT margin 20.4% and the median ROE on year-end equity 79.0% [9] [1 p.101]. Our FY2027F-28F figures sit at or just below them: gross margin 47.7%, EBIT margin 19.8%. Our forecast ROE on average equity (94%) is high because equity stays near BDT 0.9bn with a 100% payout; the valuation uses the 79% median for new capital. We do not treat FY2021 as normal: its 54.6% gross margin predates the taka's fall.

Exhibit 17EPS has stayed between BDT 140 and 174 since FY2021; we forecast BDT 177 in FY2026F
BDT
0100200300400ForecastFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
EPSDPS
Data
FY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
EPS171.03139.50173.65159.17172.93176.97183.30195.83
DPS165.0098.0055.00333.00173.00176.97183.30195.83
Source: Five-year data [1 p.50]; forecast [9]
Exhibit 18Gross margin fell from 54.6% to 46.0% in FY2022 and recovered to about 48%; EBIT margin near 20%
%
00.20.40.6ForecastFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Gross marginEBIT margin
Data
FY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Gross margin0.550.460.490.490.480.480.480.48
EBIT margin0.230.200.220.200.200.210.200.20
Source: Five-year data [1 p.47] [1 p.51]; forecast [9]
Exhibit 19Quarterly EPS: BDT 23.26 in Q1 2026 and 41.07 in Q2; we need BDT 113 in the second half
BDT
020.040.060.0Forecast1Q252Q253Q254Q251Q262Q263Q26F4Q26F32.529.752.258.523.341.153.159.5
Data
1Q252Q253Q254Q251Q262Q263Q26F4Q26F
EPS32.4529.7152.2258.5523.2641.0753.1059.54
Source: Statements and DSE releases [3 p.3] [2 p.3] [4 p.3]; 3Q-4Q26F [9] · H2 2025 EPS was BDT 110.77

Payout averaged 101% over five years; at 100% the FY2026F dividend is about BDT 177

Operating cash flow was BDT 806mn in FY2025 against profit of BDT 817mn, after BDT 107mn in FY2024 when the royalty backlog was paid [1 p.219]. In H1 2026 it was BDT 725mn [2 p.5]. Capex was BDT 139mn in FY2025 and BDT 151mn in FY2024 [1 p.219]. The company had no borrowings at December 2025, having repaid BDT 69mn [1 p.249]. Working capital is negative: accruals, provisions and payables of BDT 1.79bn exceed stock and receivables of BDT 0.97bn [1 p.216]. Cash was BDT 1.20bn at December 2025, of which BDT 500mn in short-term deposits at 6.33% [1 p.243], and BDT 1.88bn at June 2026 before the dividend [2 p.2].

Payout follows the parent's cash needs more than a fixed rule. DPS was BDT 165, 98, 55, 333 and 173 for FY2021-25, or 96%, 70%, 32%, 209% and 100% of EPS [1 p.50]. The FY2025 dividend of BDT 173 (BDT 817mn) was paid in August 2026 [5]. Over five years payout averaged 101%. We use 100% in every scenario, giving DPS of BDT 177, 183 and 196 for FY2026F-28F [9]. No regulator caps the dividend of a non-bank company. In the last 24 months the only capital actions were the two cash dividends; there was no rights issue, bonus, bond or EGM [5].

Exhibit 20Dividends matched profit over five years; FY2024's 209% payout cleared retained earnings
BDT mn
05001,0001,5002,000ForecastFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
ProfitDividend for the year
Data
FY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Profit808.10659.10820.50752.10817.10836.20866.10925.30
Dividend for the year779.60463.10259.901,573.40817.40836.20866.10925.30
Source: Five-year data [1 p.50]; forecast [9]
Exhibit 21Free cash flow BDT 971mn in FY2026F; cash builds to BDT 1.55bn by FY2028F
BDT mnFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Operating cash flow1068061,0911,1081,198
Capex-151-139-120-140-150
Free cash flow-456679719681,048
Dividends paid-646-1,577-817-836-866
Cash at year end2,2031,1981,3111,4031,545
Equity1,657886905935994
Source: Cash flow [1 p.219]; forecast [9]

We forecast EPS of BDT 177 in FY2026F and BDT 196 by FY2028F, about 7% a year after FY2026F

Our base has EPS of BDT 176.97 in FY2026F (2.3%), BDT 183.30 in FY2027F and BDT 195.83 in FY2028F [9]. FY2026F is H1 actual (EPS BDT 64.34) [2 p.3] plus a second half built from H1 run-rates: EPS BDT 112.6 against BDT 110.8 in H2 2025 [4 p.3] [1 p.217]. By line, per share: revenue 4.3% (Q2 2026 was +6.7%) with materials at H1 2026's 40.5% of revenue, not H2 2025's 39.4%, gives gross profit +6.4; operating costs -0.3 (marketing at H2 2025 less H1's 3.5% cut, administration flat, royalty 5.5%); other income -1.1; net finance +3.1; WPPF -1.0; tax -5.8. The tax rate is 27.0%: FY2025's 24.9% included a one-off -2.37-point effect from funding the gratuity scheme [1 p.261], so the underlying rate was about 27.3%; H1 2026 was 27.4% [2 p.7]. Later years: revenue 6.1% and 7.1%; selling and distribution 8.4% of revenue, marketing 8.5%, administration +6% a year, royalty 5.5%; finance income 4.5% on opening cash; the 364-day T-bill cut-off was 8.79% [8].

The balance sheet follows the same drivers: cash is the plug, inventory 95 days of cost of sales, payables 11.5% of cost of sales, other payables 19.5% of revenue, the royalty paid a year in arrears, capex BDT 120-150mn against owned-asset depreciation of BDT 152-160mn. Our FY2026F EPS is 1.1% against the 12 months to June 2026 (BDT 175.11). The company gives no guidance and we found no earnings call in its DSE announcements.

Exhibit 22Forecast: revenue 6.1% in FY2027F, gross margin near 48%, EPS BDT 196 by FY2028F
BDT mnFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Revenue5,4595,6645,7296,0806,513
Gross margin48.5%48.4%48.0%47.7%47.6%
Marketing, % of revenue8.3%8.3%8.0%8.5%8.5%
Royalty-302-314-318-337-361
EBIT1,1081,1541,1771,2011,283
Finance income5133545963
Effective tax rate26.8%24.9%27.0%26.0%26.0%
Profit for the year752817836866925
EPS (BDT)159.17172.93176.97183.30195.83
Source: Model [9]
Exhibit 23H2 EPS bridge: H2 2025 BDT 111 to H2 2026F BDT 113; gross profit +6.4, tax -5.8
BDT
050.0100150200250H2-25 EPSGross profitOpex incl. royaltyOther incomeNet financeWPPFTaxH2-26F EPS1116.38-0.32-1.13.13-1.02-5.84113
Data
H2-25 EPSGross profitOpex incl. royaltyOther incomeNet financeWPPFTaxH2-26F EPS
EPS110.766.38-0.32-1.103.13-1.02-5.84112.64
Source: Statements [1 p.217] [2 p.3]; forecast [9] · H2 = full year less H1; BDT per share; pre-tax lines before WPPF and tax
Exhibit 24Key assumptions: H&T cases -2% in FY2026F then +2-3%, price +3-4%, royalty 5.5%, payout 100%
DriverFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Scenario selector (1 = bear, 2 = base, 3 = bull)2———————
Sensitivity: extra household & toiletries volume growth a year, FY26F-28F (pp)0.0%———————
Sensitivity: extra change in imported-material cost in BDT, FY27F (level shift)0.0%———————
Imported share of materials consumed70.0%———————
Health brands (Dettol, Veet, Gaviscon) share of revenue59.2%———————
Household & toiletries volume (cases) growth - bear—————-3.0%0.0%1.0%
Household & toiletries volume (cases) growth - base—————-2.0%2.0%3.0%
Household & toiletries volume (cases) growth - bull—————-1.0%4.0%5.0%
Household & toiletries volume (cases) growth - active—————-2.0%2.0%3.0%
Household & toiletries price per case, change - bear—————2.5%3.0%3.0%
Household & toiletries price per case, change - base—————3.0%4.0%4.0%
Household & toiletries price per case, change - bull—————3.5%5.0%5.0%
Household & toiletries price per case, change - active—————3.0%4.0%4.0%
Pharmaceuticals (Dettol antiseptic liquid) volume growth—————4.0%4.0%4.0%
Pharmaceuticals price per case, change—————2.0%3.0%3.0%
Imported material price in USD, change - bear—————-2.0%7.0%4.0%
Imported material price in USD, change - base—————-2.0%2.0%2.0%
Imported material price in USD, change - bull—————-2.0%-3.0%0.0%
Imported material price in USD, change - active—————-2.0%2.0%2.0%
BDT per USD, change - bear—————2.0%5.0%3.0%
BDT per USD, change - base—————2.0%2.0%2.0%
BDT per USD, change - bull—————2.0%-1.0%1.0%
BDT per USD, change - active—————2.0%2.0%2.0%
Local materials and packaging, cost change—————6.0%6.0%6.0%
Manufacturing overhead incl. depreciation (BDT mn)—————660700740
Selling and distribution, % of revenue—————8.4%8.4%8.4%
Administrative expenses (BDT mn)—————326345365
Marketing (media and advertising), % of revenue - bear—————8.0%9.0%9.0%
Marketing (media and advertising), % of revenue - base—————8.0%8.5%8.5%
Marketing (media and advertising), % of revenue - bull—————8.0%8.0%8.0%
Marketing (media and advertising), % of revenue - active—————8.0%8.5%8.5%
Royalty rate on health brands (Reckitt Benckiser Health Ltd, UK)—————6.0%6.0%6.0%
Royalty rate on hygiene/home brands (Reckitt Benckiser (ENA) B.V.)—————4.9%4.9%4.9%
Other income, recurring (BDT mn)—————101010
Yield on opening cash and deposits—————4.5%4.5%4.5%
Finance cost: lease interest, FX and other (BDT mn)—————252830
WPPF, % of profit before WPPF—————5.0%5.0%5.0%
Effective tax rate—————27.0%26.0%26.0%
Depreciation of owned assets (BDT mn)—————152156160
Depreciation of right-of-use assets (BDT mn)—————404040
Capex (BDT mn)—————120140150
Inventory days (on cost of sales)—————959595
Receivables and current advances, % of revenue—————3.0%3.0%3.0%
Trade payables, % of cost of sales—————11.5%11.5%11.5%
Other payables and accruals, % of revenue—————19.5%19.5%19.5%
Current tax payable, % of tax expense—————55.0%55.0%55.0%
Dividend payout (DPS / EPS), paid the following year - bear—————100.0%100.0%100.0%
Dividend payout (DPS / EPS), paid the following year - base—————100.0%100.0%100.0%
Dividend payout (DPS / EPS), paid the following year - bull—————100.0%100.0%100.0%
Dividend payout (DPS / EPS), paid the following year - active—————100.0%100.0%100.0%

From the Assumptions tab of the model.

Source: Model [9]

Model update

  • Latest statements used: annual report to 31-Dec-2025 and unaudited H1 2026 (to 30-Jun-2026). The board met on 29-Oct-2026 to approve the Q3 2026 accounts; the results were not yet in DSE news or our filings library on 31-Oct-2026. The model will be updated when they and later statements are filed.

Fair value range BDT 1,908-2,583, base 2,230 (12.6x FY2026F EPS); the price is above the range

The valuation reads off the forecast. DCF (60%): free cash flow to the firm for FY2027F-33F is discounted at the cost of equity (there is no debt) to 31-Dec-2026. Growth fades to 5% and the EBIT margin to a sustainable 20.4%, the five-year median. The terminal value uses NOPAT x (1 - g / return on new capital) with a 79% return, so reinvestment is 6.3% of NOPAT. Enterprise value is BDT 10,217mn, 55% from the terminal value. Adding year-end cash of BDT 1,311mn and deducting leases gives BDT 2,349 a share. DDM (40%): the FY2026F-28F dividends, paid each July, then a terminal value of EPS x (1 - g/ROE) / (CoE - g) at the same 79% ROE, give BDT 2,051. The DDM is lower mainly because it pays out only earnings: the BDT 239 a share of net cash at FY2026F, and the cash that builds up later, are never distributed in it. Sum of the parts does not apply: one business, no subsidiaries.

Inputs, set without reference to the price. Cost of equity = 10-year T-bond 9.27% [8] + beta 0.60 x ERP 7.5% = 13.8%. ERP 7.5% is the standard used for non-bank DSE companies in this series. The raw two-year weekly beta against DSEX is 0.37 (correlation 0.43) [6]; Blume-adjusted it is 0.58, so the 0.6 floor of the F08 spec applies. Terminal growth of 5% is the low end of the F08 staples range (5-7%), because revenue grew only 3.5% a year in FY2021-25. The 79% return on new capital is the company's five-year median ROE (range 45-92%) [1 p.101]; ROE stands in for return on capital because operating capital is negative (payables and accruals exceed stock and receivables). The sustainable EBIT margin of 20.4% is the FY2021-25 median (range 19.9-23.3%) [1 p.47]: the target every scenario fades to by FY2033F. The justified forward P/E on these inputs is (1 - g/ROE) / (CoE - g) = 10.7x; our base is 12.6x FY2026F and 12.2x FY2027F EPS, with a 8.2% FY2027F yield. The legs agree within 15%.

The price and our range. At BDT 3,221.4 the market values the company at BDT 15.2bn, 18.2x our FY2026F EPS, above our bull case of BDT 2,583. On our forecast, the price corresponds to a 11.0% cost of equity, 8.4% growth for ever, or an EBIT margin of 28.7% from FY2027F [9]. December trailing P/Es were 33.5x (FY2021, before the floor years), 34.1x and 27.4x at the DSE floor price (FY2022-23), 27.3x (FY2024) and 19.8x (FY2025) [6] [9]. The stock has de-rated as the price fell from BDT 4,820 in September 2024. We do not anchor on the market multiple: about 11% of shares trade privately and turnover is about BDT 1.0mn a day, so the price may reflect factors outside the cash flows. We put no value on them.

Exhibit 25Cost of equity 13.8% = Rf 9.27% + beta 0.60 x ERP 7.5%
InputValue
Risk-free rate (BD 10-yr T-bond cut-off yield)9.3%
Equity risk premium7.5%
Raw beta (2-yr weekly vs DSEX)0.37
Blume-adjusted beta0.58
Beta used (floor 0.6)0.60
Cost of equity13.8%
WACC13.8%
Terminal growth (nominal BDT)5.0%
Return on new capital / sustainable ROE (terminal)79.0%
Discount from 31-Dec-2026 to 29-Oct-2026 (years)0.17
Sustainable EBIT margin (fade target, FY33F)20.4%

From the WACC tab of the model.

Source: BB auction 25-Oct-2026 [8]; beta from chart_bars [6]
Exhibit 26DCF: enterprise value BDT 10,217mn plus BDT 1,311mn of cash; BDT 2,349 a share
BDT mn unless statedFY27FFY28FFY29FFY30FFY31FFY32FFY33F
Revenue6,0806,5136,9497,3857,8178,2418,653
Revenue growth6.1%7.1%6.7%6.3%5.8%5.4%5.0%
EBIT margin19.8%19.7%19.8%20.0%20.1%20.3%20.4%
EBIT1,2011,2831,3791,4751,5731,6701,765
Less: WPPF and tax on EBIT-357-381-409-438-467-496-524
NOPAT8449029691,0371,1061,1741,241
Add: depreciation of owned assets156160171181192202213
Less: capex-140-150-188-200-211-223-234
Less: increase in working capital (FY29F+: % of revenue at FY28F)46736363626159
Free cash flow to firm (FCFF)9069851,0151,0821,1491,2151,279
Discount period (years from 31-Dec-2026)1.02.03.04.05.06.07.0
Discount factor0.880.770.680.600.520.460.41
PV of FCFF796761689646603560519
Sum of PV of FCFF, FY27F-FY33F4,574——————
Terminal reinvestment rate = g / RONIC6.3%——————
Terminal value at FY33F13,920——————
PV of terminal value5,643——————
Enterprise value at 31-Dec-202610,217——————
Terminal value, % of EV55.2%——————
Add: cash and short-term deposits (FY26F)1,311——————
Less: lease liabilities (FY26F)-183——————
Equity value at 31-Dec-202611,345——————
DCF value per share at 29-Oct-2026 (BDT)2,349.0——————
DDM: FY26F DPS, paid ~Jul-2027 (BDT)176.97——————
DDM: FY27F DPS, paid ~Jul-2028 (BDT)183.30——————
DDM: FY28F DPS, paid ~Jul-2029 (BDT)195.83——————
DDM: FY28F EPS at the sustainable EBIT margin (BDT)202.61——————
DDM: value at Jul-2029 of later dividends = EPS x (1+g) x (1 - g/ROE) / (CoE - g)2,272.7——————
DDM value per share at 29-Oct-2026 (BDT)2,051.4——————
Weight: DCF60.0%——————
Weight: DDM40.0%——————
Fair value, active scenario (BDT/share)2,230.0——————
Fair value - bear (25%)1,907.5——————
Fair value - base (50%)2,230.0——————
Fair value - bull (25%)2,583.3——————
Probability-weighted fair value2,237.7——————
Share price 29-Oct-2026 (BDT)3,221.4——————
Net cash (cash less leases) per share, FY26F238.8——————
Justified forward P/E = (1 - g/ROE) / (CoE - g)10.7x——————
Implied FY26F P/E at base fair value12.6x——————
Implied FY27F P/E at base fair value12.2x——————
Implied FY27F dividend yield at base fair value8.2%——————
Reverse DCF: cost of equity that equates DCF value to price (base g)11.0%——————
Reverse DCF: terminal g that equates DCF value to price8.4%——————
Reverse DCF: EBIT margin FY27F+ that equates DCF value to price (base Ke, g)28.7%——————
Bear: DCF / DDM (BDT/share)1,949.71,844.1—————
Bull: DCF / DDM (BDT/share)2,792.12,270.2—————

From the Valuation tab of the model.

Source: Model [9]
Exhibit 27DCF across inputs: BDT 1,919-9,118; base cell BDT 2,297
Terminal gCoE 9.8%CoE 11.8%CoE 13.8%CoE 14.8%CoE 15.8%
4.0%3,4612,6362,1461,9691,822
5.0%3,9932,8962,2972,0891,919
6.0%4,8013,2442,4842,2332,033
7.0%6,1843,7322,7242,4132,172
8.0%9,1184,4743,0432,6422,344
Source: DCF recomputed per cell [9] · DCF value, BDT/share; cost of equity -4pp to +2pp, terminal g 4-8%
Exhibit 28Scenarios: bear BDT 1,908 (volume -1/-2pp, imports +5pp); bull BDT 2,583 (volume +1/+2pp, imports -5pp)
Bear (25%)Base (50%)Bull (25%)
H&T cases FY26F / FY27F-3% / +0%-2% / +2%-1% / +4%
H&T price FY27F3.0%4.0%5.0%
Imported materials USD FY27F7.0%2.0%-3.0%
BDT per USD FY27F5.0%2.0%-1.0%
Marketing, % of revenue FY27F9.0%8.5%8.0%
FY2027F EPS (BDT)141.67183.30226.57
FY2027F gross margin44.5%47.7%50.7%
DCF (BDT/share)1,9502,3492,792
DDM (BDT/share)1,8442,0512,270
Fair value (BDT/share)1,9082,2302,583
Source: Model [9] · Probability-weighted value BDT 2,238. Driver shocks run through FY2026F-28F; margins fade to the 20.4% median by FY2033F
Exhibit 29Trailing P/E fell from 33.5x (Dec-2021) to 19.8x (Dec-2025); our base is 12.6x FY2026F
x
010.020.030.040.0FY21FY22FY23FY24FY2533.534.127.427.319.8
Data
FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Trailing P/E33.5034.1027.4027.3019.80
Source: December prices [6]; EPS [1 p.50] · FY22-23 at the DSE floor price

Risks: cases -5% cut fair value 9%; a 1pp higher royalty cuts it 1%

Each risk below changes one driver, with everything else at base; margins fade back to normal by FY2033F as in the scenarios. Volume is the largest: 5% fewer cases in FY2027F cuts FY2027F EPS to BDT 161 and fair value by 9%. Imports 15% dearer cut FY2027F EPS to BDT 151, but fair value only 4% because we assume prices catch up. Holding marketing at H1 2026's 10% of revenue costs BDT 54 a share. The parent's decisions on royalty and payout move fair value by BDT 22 and 32. Risks without a modelled number: counterfeits [1 p.45]; tax disputes over technical-fee remittances [1 p.248]; slower remittance of royalty and dividends, which in 2023 left BDT 1.1bn of royalty unpaid [1 p.248]; the payable was BDT 466mn at June 2026 [2 p.8]; and a parent offer for minority shares or a delisting, about which there is no announcement. Liquidity is thin: at BDT 1.0mn a day, small orders can move the price sharply in either direction.

Exhibit 30Volume is the biggest single risk: cases -5% cuts fair value to BDT 2,022; stronger pricing lifts it to BDT 2,394
Risk / opportunityLine it movesFY2027F EPS (BDT)Fair value (BDT/share)vs base
H&T cases -5% in FY2027F (local brands take share)H&T revenue161.42,021.8-0.1
Imported materials +15% in USD in FY2027FMaterials ratio; gross margin150.62,135.5-0.0
Taka falls 10% in FY2027FImported material cost163.22,171.8-0.0
Marketing held at 10% of revenue (H1 2026 level)Marketing expense169.12,176.2-0.0
Royalty rates +1pp on both contractsRoyalty line174.32,208.1-0.0
Payout cut to 80%Dividends; cash183.32,198.1-0.0
Cash yield 2pp lowerFinance income179.32,210.2-0.0
Opportunity: H&T price +6% a year in FY2027F-28FH&T revenue; materials ratio196.22,394.40.1
Base—183.32,230.00.0
Source: Model, one driver changed at a time [9] · vs base column is a ratio (e.g. -0.09 = -9%)

Catalysts and what to watch

  • Q3 2026 results (board met 29-Oct-2026): case volumes, gross margin and the tax rate
  • Soap noodle (palm oil), resin and PCMX prices and the taka-dollar rate
  • Marketing spend against Lifebuoy and Savlon; Dettol's share of sales in the royalty split
  • Payment of the BDT 466mn royalty payable at June 2026; any change to the royalty contracts
  • FY2026 dividend with the annual results, around April 2027

The model

The model with its formulas: open it in the spreadsheet view or download the Excel file (AnalystBro paid accounts). Download .xlsx

Assumptions

DriverFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Scenario selector (1 = bear, 2 = base, 3 = bull)2———————
Sensitivity: extra household & toiletries volume growth a year, FY26F-28F (pp)0.0%———————
Sensitivity: extra change in imported-material cost in BDT, FY27F (level shift)0.0%———————
Imported share of materials consumed70.0%———————
Health brands (Dettol, Veet, Gaviscon) share of revenue59.2%———————
Household & toiletries volume (cases) growth - bear—————-3.0%0.0%1.0%
Household & toiletries volume (cases) growth - base—————-2.0%2.0%3.0%
Household & toiletries volume (cases) growth - bull—————-1.0%4.0%5.0%
Household & toiletries volume (cases) growth - active—————-2.0%2.0%3.0%
Household & toiletries price per case, change - bear—————2.5%3.0%3.0%
Household & toiletries price per case, change - base—————3.0%4.0%4.0%
Household & toiletries price per case, change - bull—————3.5%5.0%5.0%
Household & toiletries price per case, change - active—————3.0%4.0%4.0%
Pharmaceuticals (Dettol antiseptic liquid) volume growth—————4.0%4.0%4.0%
Pharmaceuticals price per case, change—————2.0%3.0%3.0%
Imported material price in USD, change - bear—————-2.0%7.0%4.0%
Imported material price in USD, change - base—————-2.0%2.0%2.0%
Imported material price in USD, change - bull—————-2.0%-3.0%0.0%
Imported material price in USD, change - active—————-2.0%2.0%2.0%
BDT per USD, change - bear—————2.0%5.0%3.0%
BDT per USD, change - base—————2.0%2.0%2.0%
BDT per USD, change - bull—————2.0%-1.0%1.0%
BDT per USD, change - active—————2.0%2.0%2.0%
Local materials and packaging, cost change—————6.0%6.0%6.0%
Manufacturing overhead incl. depreciation (BDT mn)—————660700740
Selling and distribution, % of revenue—————8.4%8.4%8.4%
Administrative expenses (BDT mn)—————326345365
Marketing (media and advertising), % of revenue - bear—————8.0%9.0%9.0%
Marketing (media and advertising), % of revenue - base—————8.0%8.5%8.5%
Marketing (media and advertising), % of revenue - bull—————8.0%8.0%8.0%
Marketing (media and advertising), % of revenue - active—————8.0%8.5%8.5%
Royalty rate on health brands (Reckitt Benckiser Health Ltd, UK)—————6.0%6.0%6.0%
Royalty rate on hygiene/home brands (Reckitt Benckiser (ENA) B.V.)—————4.9%4.9%4.9%
Other income, recurring (BDT mn)—————101010
Yield on opening cash and deposits—————4.5%4.5%4.5%
Finance cost: lease interest, FX and other (BDT mn)—————252830
WPPF, % of profit before WPPF—————5.0%5.0%5.0%
Effective tax rate—————27.0%26.0%26.0%
Depreciation of owned assets (BDT mn)—————152156160
Depreciation of right-of-use assets (BDT mn)—————404040
Capex (BDT mn)—————120140150
Inventory days (on cost of sales)—————959595
Receivables and current advances, % of revenue—————3.0%3.0%3.0%
Trade payables, % of cost of sales—————11.5%11.5%11.5%
Other payables and accruals, % of revenue—————19.5%19.5%19.5%
Current tax payable, % of tax expense—————55.0%55.0%55.0%
Dividend payout (DPS / EPS), paid the following year - bear—————100.0%100.0%100.0%
Dividend payout (DPS / EPS), paid the following year - base—————100.0%100.0%100.0%
Dividend payout (DPS / EPS), paid the following year - bull—————100.0%100.0%100.0%
Dividend payout (DPS / EPS), paid the following year - active—————100.0%100.0%100.0%

Income statement

BDT mnFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Revenue by segment
Household & toiletries volume ('000 cases)———2,2972,2692,2242,2692,337
H&T price per case (BDT)———2,2862,3972,4692,5682,670
Household & toiletries revenue (Dettol soap, Harpic, Lizol, Mortein, Veet...)———5,2515,4405,4915,8256,240
Pharmaceuticals volume ('000 cases)———83.390.794.398.1102.0
Pharmaceuticals price per case (BDT)———2,4992,4752,5242,6002,678
Pharmaceuticals revenue (Dettol antiseptic liquid)———208224238255273
Revenue (net of VAT)4,9424,9695,2825,4595,6645,7296,0806,513
Revenue growth—0.6%6.3%3.4%3.8%1.1%6.1%7.1%
Costs
Materials and goods incl. stock change, % of revenue———41.9%41.2%40.5%40.8%41.0%
Manufacturing overhead———-525-589-660-700-740
Cost of sales-2,245-2,685-2,671-2,810-2,923-2,982-3,180-3,413
Gross profit2,6972,2842,6102,6492,7412,7482,9003,100
Gross margin54.6%46.0%49.4%48.5%48.4%48.0%47.7%47.6%
Selling and distribution———-448-468-481-511-547
Administrative———-346-344-326-345-365
Marketing (media and advertising)———-453-473-456-517-554
Royalty to Reckitt group (UK and Netherlands brand owners)———-302-314-317-337-361
Operating expenses incl. royalty———-1,549-1,598-1,581-1,709-1,827
Other income and receivable impairment———811101010
Operating profit (EBIT)1,1549871,1701,1081,1541,1771,2011,283
Finance income———5133545963
Finance costs———-81-46-25-28-30
Profit before WPPF———1,0791,1421,2061,2321,316
Contribution to WPPF———-51-54-60-62-66
Profit before tax1,1028931,1011,0271,0881,1451,1701,250
Effective tax rate26.6%26.2%25.5%26.8%24.9%27.0%26.0%26.0%
Income tax-293-234-280-275-271-309-304-325
Profit for the year808659820752817836866925
Shares (mn)4.724.724.724.724.724.724.724.72
EPS (BDT)171.03139.50173.65159.17172.93176.97183.30195.83
DPS (BDT, cash)165.0098.0055.00333.00173.00176.97183.30195.83
Depreciation (owned and right-of-use)———190189192196200
EBITDA———1,2981,3441,3691,3971,483

Balance sheet

BDT mnFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
PPE and right-of-use assets———712749717701691
Deferred tax and long-term advances———8267676767
Inventories———708829776828888
Receivables and current advances———155173172182195
Cash and short-term deposits———2,2031,1981,3111,4031,545
Total assets———3,8593,0163,0433,1813,387
Equity———1,657886905935994
Lease liabilities———130183183183183
Employee benefits (gratuity, net)———1110000
Trade payables———354335343366393
Royalty payable to Reckitt group———302314317337361
Other payables, accruals and provisions———1,0551,1401,1171,1861,270
Current tax payable———174150170167179
Loans and borrowings———690000
Unclaimed dividend———67777
Total equity and liabilities———3,8593,0163,0433,1813,387
Check: assets - equity and liabilities———00000
Net cash (cash - leases - borrowings)———2,0031,0151,1281,2201,362
Book value per share (BDT)———350.64187.58191.55197.88210.41

Cash flow

BDT mnFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Profit for the year—————836866925
Depreciation—————192196200
Change in working capital (incl. royalty and tax payable)—————634673
Change in other balances—————000
Net cash from operating activities———1078061,0911,1081,198
Capex———-151-139-120-140-150
Dividends paid———-646-1,577-817-836-866
Lease principal (= right-of-use depreciation)———-37-38-40-40-40
Borrowings and other financing, net———-41-95000
Net change in cash—————11492142
Check: change in cash vs balance sheet—————000
Free cash flow (OCF + capex)———-456679719681,048
OCF / profit———0.140.991.301.281.29

Quarterly

BDT mn1Q25A2Q25A3Q25A4Q25A1Q26A2Q26A3Q26F4Q26F
Revenue1,4731,3351,4871,3691,3261,4251,5511,427
EPS (BDT)32.4529.7152.2258.5523.2641.0753.1059.54
Profit for the period153140247277110194251281

Ratios

RatioFY21AFY22AFY23AFY24AFY25AFY26FFY27FFY28F
Share price (BDT, December close; forecast = 29-Oct-2026)5,729.94,760.74,760.74,350.03,424.43,221.43,221.43,221.4
Gross margin54.6%46.0%49.4%48.5%48.4%48.0%47.7%47.6%
EBIT margin23.3%19.9%22.2%20.3%20.4%20.5%19.8%19.7%
Net margin16.4%13.3%15.5%13.8%14.4%14.6%14.2%14.2%
Royalty, % of revenue———5.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%5.5%
Marketing, % of revenue———8.3%8.3%8.0%8.5%8.5%
Finance income, % of profit before tax———5.0%3.0%4.7%5.0%5.0%
ROE (on year-end equity, printed)85.0%79.0%69.0%45.0%92.0%———
ROE (on average equity)————64.3%93.4%94.1%95.9%
EPS growth—-18.4%24.5%-8.3%8.6%2.3%3.6%6.8%
Payout (DPS / EPS)96.5%70.3%31.7%209.2%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
P/E33.5x34.1x27.4x27.3x19.8x18.2x17.6x16.5x
Dividend yield2.9%2.1%1.2%7.7%5.1%5.5%5.7%6.1%
P/B———12.4x18.3x16.8x16.3x15.3x
EV (market cap - net cash)———18,55115,16514,09314,00113,859
EV/EBITDA———14.3x11.3x10.3x10.0x9.3x
Median trailing P/E FY21-FY2527.4x———————
5-yr median gross margin (FY21-25)48.5%———————
5-yr median EBIT margin (FY21-25)20.4%———————
5-yr median ROE (printed)79.0%———————

Valuation

BDT mn unless statedFY27FFY28FFY29FFY30FFY31FFY32FFY33F
Revenue6,0806,5136,9497,3857,8178,2418,653
Revenue growth6.1%7.1%6.7%6.3%5.8%5.4%5.0%
EBIT margin19.8%19.7%19.8%20.0%20.1%20.3%20.4%
EBIT1,2011,2831,3791,4751,5731,6701,765
Less: WPPF and tax on EBIT-357-381-409-438-467-496-524
NOPAT8449029691,0371,1061,1741,241
Add: depreciation of owned assets156160171181192202213
Less: capex-140-150-188-200-211-223-234
Less: increase in working capital (FY29F+: % of revenue at FY28F)46736363626159
Free cash flow to firm (FCFF)9069851,0151,0821,1491,2151,279
Discount period (years from 31-Dec-2026)1.02.03.04.05.06.07.0
Discount factor0.880.770.680.600.520.460.41
PV of FCFF796761689646603560519
Sum of PV of FCFF, FY27F-FY33F4,574——————
Terminal reinvestment rate = g / RONIC6.3%——————
Terminal value at FY33F13,920——————
PV of terminal value5,643——————
Enterprise value at 31-Dec-202610,217——————
Terminal value, % of EV55.2%——————
Add: cash and short-term deposits (FY26F)1,311——————
Less: lease liabilities (FY26F)-183——————
Equity value at 31-Dec-202611,345——————
DCF value per share at 29-Oct-2026 (BDT)2,349.0——————
DDM: FY26F DPS, paid ~Jul-2027 (BDT)176.97——————
DDM: FY27F DPS, paid ~Jul-2028 (BDT)183.30——————
DDM: FY28F DPS, paid ~Jul-2029 (BDT)195.83——————
DDM: FY28F EPS at the sustainable EBIT margin (BDT)202.61——————
DDM: value at Jul-2029 of later dividends = EPS x (1+g) x (1 - g/ROE) / (CoE - g)2,272.7——————
DDM value per share at 29-Oct-2026 (BDT)2,051.4——————
Weight: DCF60.0%——————
Weight: DDM40.0%——————
Fair value, active scenario (BDT/share)2,230.0——————
Fair value - bear (25%)1,907.5——————
Fair value - base (50%)2,230.0——————
Fair value - bull (25%)2,583.3——————
Probability-weighted fair value2,237.7——————
Share price 29-Oct-2026 (BDT)3,221.4——————
Net cash (cash less leases) per share, FY26F238.8——————
Justified forward P/E = (1 - g/ROE) / (CoE - g)10.7x——————
Implied FY26F P/E at base fair value12.6x——————
Implied FY27F P/E at base fair value12.2x——————
Implied FY27F dividend yield at base fair value8.2%——————
Reverse DCF: cost of equity that equates DCF value to price (base g)11.0%——————
Reverse DCF: terminal g that equates DCF value to price8.4%——————
Reverse DCF: EBIT margin FY27F+ that equates DCF value to price (base Ke, g)28.7%——————
Bear: DCF / DDM (BDT/share)1,949.71,844.1—————
Bull: DCF / DDM (BDT/share)2,792.12,270.2—————

WACC

InputValue
Risk-free rate (BD 10-yr T-bond cut-off yield)9.3%
Equity risk premium7.5%
Raw beta (2-yr weekly vs DSEX)0.37
Blume-adjusted beta0.58
Beta used (floor 0.6)0.60
Cost of equity13.8%
WACC13.8%
Terminal growth (nominal BDT)5.0%
Return on new capital / sustainable ROE (terminal)79.0%
Discount from 31-Dec-2026 to 29-Oct-2026 (years)0.17
Sustainable EBIT margin (fade target, FY33F)20.4%

Sensitivity

Grid 1: terminal g (rows) x cost of equity (columns), DCF value BDT/shareCoE 9.77%CoE 11.77%CoE 13.77%CoE 14.77%CoE 15.77%
g 4.0%3,461.12,635.62,146.31,969.31,822.1
g 5.0%3,993.12,896.22,297.02,088.71,918.6
g 6.0%4,801.23,243.52,484.12,233.22,033.1
g 7.0%6,184.33,732.12,723.72,412.72,171.8
g 8.0%9,117.64,473.93,042.92,642.52,344.0
Grid 2: H&T volume growth vs base (rows) x imported-material cost in BDT from FY27F (columns): fair value, BDT/shareImports -20%Imports -10%Imports +0%Imports +10%Imports +20%
Fair value at volume -5.0% a year1,920.71,858.01,795.41,732.71,670.1
Fair value at volume -2.5% a year2,139.42,071.92,004.41,936.81,869.3
Fair value at volume +0.0% a year2,375.42,302.72,230.02,157.32,084.6
Fair value at volume +2.5% a year2,629.82,551.62,473.42,395.22,317.0
Fair value at volume +5.0% a year2,903.92,819.92,735.92,651.82,567.8
Grid 3: same inputs: FY27F EPS, BDTImports -20%Imports -10%Imports +0%Imports +10%Imports +20%
EPS FY27F at volume -5.0% a year196.95174.13151.30128.48105.65
EPS FY27F at volume -2.5% a year215.07191.08167.10143.12119.13
EPS FY27F at volume +0.0% a year233.65208.47183.30158.12132.95
EPS FY27F at volume +2.5% a year252.69226.29199.89173.50147.10
EPS FY27F at volume +5.0% a year272.18244.54216.89189.24161.59

Peers

MetricRECKITTBENUNILEVERCLMARICOBATBCACILINDEBD
Market cap (BDT bn)15.237.683.2112.915.69.5
P/E TTM (screener)18.4x71.1x13.3x30.0x—29.0x
P/B (screener)40.7x21.0x18.1x1.9x1.7x2.9x
Dividend yield (screener)5.4%2.2%7.9%1.4%1.4%1.6%

FAQ

What is Reckitt Benckiser Bangladesh's fair value?
We estimate BDT 1,908-2,583 a share, base 2,230, from a DCF (60%) and a dividend discount model (40%) at a 13.8% cost of equity [9]. The price on 29-Oct-2026 was BDT 3,221.4 [6].
Which brands does Reckitt Benckiser Bangladesh sell?
Dettol (antiseptic liquid, soap), Veet and Gaviscon under Reckitt Benckiser Health, UK, and Harpic, Lizol, Mortein, Vanish, Air Wick, Brasso and Trix under Reckitt Benckiser (ENA), Netherlands [1 p.248] [1 p.249].
How much royalty does RECKITTBEN pay?
6% of sales of Dettol, Veet and Gaviscon and 4.875% of other brand sales: BDT 313.9mn, 5.5% of revenue, in FY2025 [1 p.249].
What dividend does Reckitt Benckiser Bangladesh pay?
BDT 173 a share (1,730%) for FY2025, 100% of EPS; BDT 333 for FY2024 [1 p.50].
Who owns Reckitt Benckiser Bangladesh?
Reckitt Benckiser Limited, UK owns 82.96%; the Government of Bangladesh 3.77%, Sadharan Bima 1.67%, and individuals and institutions the rest [1 p.244].
Which results does this report use?
The annual report to 31-Dec-2025 and the unaudited H1 2026 statements. The Q3 2026 results were approved on 29-Oct-2026 and will be added when filed.

Sources

  1. Reckitt Benckiser (Bangladesh) PLC Annual Report and Financial Statements 2025 (year to 31-Dec-2025) · link · accessed 2026-10-31
  2. Reckitt Benckiser (Bangladesh) PLC interim condensed financial statements, six months to 30-Jun-2026 (Q2 2026, unaudited) · link · accessed 2026-10-31
  3. Reckitt Benckiser (Bangladesh) PLC interim condensed financial statements, three months to 31-Mar-2026 (Q1 2026, unaudited) · link · accessed 2026-10-31
  4. Reckitt Benckiser (Bangladesh) PLC interim condensed financial statements, nine months to 30-Sep-2025 (Q3 2025, unaudited) · link · accessed 2026-10-31
  5. DSE announcements for RECKITTBEN, Nov-2024 to Oct-2026 (quarterly EPS releases; FY2024 and FY2025 dividends; dividend disbursements; CRISL rating 11-Oct-2026; Q3 2026 board meeting notice 25-Oct-2026) · link · accessed 2026-10-31
  6. AnalystBro price data (TradingView feed): DSE:RECKITTBEN daily, weekly and monthly bars, DSEX weekly, to 29-Oct-2026 · link · accessed 2026-10-31
  7. AnalystBro screener: RECKITTBEN and DSE multinational and consumer peers, close 29-Oct-2026 · link · accessed 2026-10-31
  8. Bangladesh Bank, Treasury auction cut-off yields (10-year bond 9.268% on 25-Oct-2026; 364-day bill 8.79% on 26-Oct-2026) · link · accessed 2026-10-31
  9. AnalystBro model for this report (workbook tabs below) · link · accessed 2026-10-31

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